acceptodds: Which papers will get accepted at ICLR 2027?

Abstract

A prediction market on peer review. Each paper has a market on its decision (accept or reject), priced by researchers who stake $rep, an in app currency, on what they expect. Everyone who signs up receives 1,000 $rep to trade with. Prices are probabilities, and every market settles when the venue publishes its decisions. It is a game made for fun, and has no connection to ICLR, OpenReview or any other organisation. acceptodds is an open source project, open to contributions, at github.com/benedict-armstrong/acceptodds.¹

ICLR 2027sort:acceptance volume activity newest

[PDF]How to catch distillation137 $rep61%

[PDF]Unmergeable LoRA: Proactively Protecting Adapters from Unauthorized Merging323 $rep61%

[PDF]Contrastive Principal Component Regression2 $rep61%

[PDF]SI-HGN: Structure-Informed Hypergraph Networks for Virtual Perturbation-Based Effective Connectivity Inference2 $rep61%

[PDF]Tokenisation via Convex Relaxations33 $rep61%

[PDF]HyperDiff: High-Order Structure-Driven Diffusion for Multivariate Probabilistic Forecasting2 $rep61%

[PDF]Anchored Scenario Coverage for Failure-Aware First-Hit Batch Inverse Design201 $rep60%

[PDF]From Trace Invariance to Certified Execution2 $rep60%

[PDF]Real-Time Streaming Reasoning with Temporal Self-Distillation Policy Optimization2 $rep60%

[PDF]Agentic Critical Training50 $rep59%

[PDF]STEER: Steerable Recommendation System with User Memory and Think-Then-Recommend2 $rep59%

[PDF]Living-Harness Is an Interactive-Agent Evolver2 $rep59%

[PDF]BiNar: Bitstream Native Restorer for Bitstream-corrupted Image Restoration2 $rep59%

[PDF]When Model Complexity Matters in Cross-Subject fMRI Prediction2 $rep59%

[PDF]Thermo-Symplectic Neural Langevin Flows2 $rep59%

[PDF]When Can Prefixes Compile LoRA? Exact Resource-Capped Tests for Frozen Attention2 $rep59%

[PDF]Towards Merging-conditional Backdoor Unalignment against Large Language Models243 $rep59%

[PDF]Gradient-Free Sampling from Generative Models via Stochastic Bounded Extremum Seeking102 $rep59%

[PDF]Towards interpreting any residual stream direction by scaling activation inversion2 $rep58%

[PDF]TREDL-Spec: Temporal Replicate-Aware Disentangling for Longitudinal Clinical Spectroscopy2 $rep58%

[PDF]Privacy Admission from Incomplete Rényi Differential Privacy Histories151 $rep58%

[PDF]Threshold-Mass CROWN: Direction-Dependent Softmax Bounds for Transformer Verification2 $rep57%

[PDF]Disentanglement with Holographic Reduced Representations2 $rep57%

[PDF]Neural Boltzmann Equations2 $rep56%

[PDF]Certification Frontiers for Gaussian LoRA: Independent Priors, Posterior Risk, and Prediction-Preserving Balancing2 $rep56%

[PDF]Recovering and Certifying Incentives in Zero-Sum Stopping Games2 $rep56%

[PDF]Affine Vertex: Directional Softmax Bounds for Transformer Verification2 $rep56%

[PDF]Post-Edit Regret for Lifted Quotients: Exact Accounting and Feasible Certificates2 $rep55%

[PDF]Unit-Weight Posterior Coresets: Sharp KL Geometry and Certification Limits2 $rep55%

[PDF]TrajLong: Co-Designing Agentic and Long-Context Supervision for Mid-Training2 $rep55%

[PDF]MAGE: Matrix-weighted Attention Graph Energies for LLM Family Fingerprinting41 $rep55%

[PDF]Across RF Cycles: Poisson-Closed Neural Operators for Capacitively Coupled Plasmas2 $rep54%

[PDF]OpenTSLM TeeMoE: A Unified Time-Series Language Model for Forecasting, Contextual Prediction, and Reasoning102 $rep54%

[PDF]Lightweight Representation Learning for Low Tucker Rank Tensors2 $rep53%

[PDF]LLMSeg: Training-Free Text-Prompted Image Segmentation with B-Splines2 $rep53%

[PDF]QReS: Quantizing Recurrent Language Models Is Easier Than You Think329 $rep52%

[PDF]Reassessing Spatial Context in Histopathology30 $rep52%

[PDF]FINE-GRAINED DEVICE-DIRECTED SPEECH RECOGNITION: FROM OFFLINE MODELING TO STREAMING INFERENCE2 $rep52%

[PDF]HazeMT-DCR: Demand-Aware Counterfactual Expert Routing for Incremental Multi-Task Prediction in Hazy Scenes48 $rep52%

[PDF]Meta²: Precomputing Reusable Knowledge for Online Harness Evolution in Long-Horizon Agents212 $rep51%

[PDF]AgentSWE: Can Coding Agents Build the Agent You Actually Want?2 $rep51%

[PDF]When Occupancy Multiplicity Makes Auditing Hard: A Conditional Query Lower Bound2 $rep51%

[PDF]LUCID: Universal Auditing of Distilled Large Language Models237 $rep49%

[PDF]LLMSpace: Carbon Footprint Modeling for LLM Inference on LEO Satellites2 $rep49%

[PDF]SAAC: Sizing Agent for Analog Circuit via Turn-Level Reinforcement Learning102 $rep48%

[PDF]AnaFlash: AI-driven Sizing of Analog Circuit using Fast Analytical Circuit Models2 $rep48%

[PDF]MolLIFT: Lifting SMILES Priors into Local Frames for 3D Molecule Generation500 $rep48%

[PDF]ENF-SSM: Amortizing Anatomical Statistical Shape Modeling with Elastic Neural Flow2 $rep46%

[PDF]Curvature as Decoder State: Exact Cache–Update Frontiers for Strongly Convex Unlearning2 $rep46%

[PDF]Physical Information, Numerical Resolution, and Learned Approximation in Born Scattering2 $rep46%

¹ If this project is interesting to you, reach out at [email protected].