acceptodds: Which papers will get accepted at ICLR 2027?
Abstract
A prediction market on peer review. Each paper has a market on its decision (accept or reject), priced by researchers who stake $rep, an in app currency, on what they expect. Everyone who signs up receives 1,000 $rep to trade with in each venue. Prices are probabilities, and every market settles when the venue publishes its decisions. It is a game made for fun, and has no connection to ICLR, OpenReview or any other organisation. acceptodds is an open source project, open to contributions, at github.com/benedict-armstrong/acceptodds.1
- The Chinese University of Hong Kong
- University of Surrey
- Industrial University of Santander
- Polytechnique Montréal
- Korea Advanced Institute of Science and Technology
- Virginia Tech
- Johannes Kepler University of Linz
- Harvard University
- Carnegie Mellon University
- University of California, Los Angeles
- University of California San Diego
- Delhi Technological University
- Aalto University
- ETH Zurich
- 北京大学
- Los Alamos National Laboratory
- University of Maryland, College Park
- Shanghai Jiao Tong University
- University of Delaware
- University of Tübingen
- Ludwig-Maximilians-Universität München
- University of Pennsylvania
- University of California, Berkeley
- University of California, Santa Barbara
- United International University
- Indian Institute of Technology Kharagpur
- National Taiwan University
- University of California, Irvine
- Mohamed bin Zayed University of Artificial Intelligence
- Indian Institute of Technology Delhi
- Uppsala University
- Indian Institute of Technology Dhanbad
- Pohang University of Science and Technology
- Massachusetts Institute of Technology
- Georgia Institute of Technology
- INHA University
- ELLIS Institute Tübingen
- Amazon
- Inria
- Technical University of Munich
- University of Southern California
- University of Illinois Urbana-Champaign
- Roche
- École Polytechnique
- Emory University
- West Virginia University
- Mila
- École Nationale Supérieure de Techniques Avancées
- École Polytechnique Fédérale de Lausanne
- University of Moratuwa
- New York University
- Birla Institute of Technology and Science, Pilani – Pilani Campus
[PDF]A benchmark score is not a model property: failure composition changes across operating regimes
[PDF]KOMPAS: Koopman Dynamics Modeling and Black-Box Predictive Control of Multi-Turn LLM Reply Attributes
[PDF]From Playbooks to Rulebooks: Extending Agentic Context Engineering (ACE) for Episodic Workflow Learning
[PDF]Confidence-Guided Policy Optimization: Thompson Sampling and UCB Trees for Group-Relative Code Refinement
[PDF]Beyond Linear Concepts: Discovering and Aligning Non-Linear Concept Manifolds in Large Language Models
[PDF]What Does Comparing Supervision Targets Identify? Separating Supervised Vectors from Candidate Weighting
[PDF]Continuous Search Allocation: Jointly Shaping Probes and Updates for Query-Efficient Black-Box Video Attacks
[PDF]How Reliable Is Online Training Through Time? A Convergence and Diagnostic Framework for Spiking Neural Networks
[PDF]When Can an Underspecified Language Agent Act? Certain-Action Verification via Outcome Invariance
[PDF]Rethinking Multi-Source Prompt Transfer: A Common-Knowledge-Guided Orthogonal Adaptation Strategy
[PDF]From Failure to Foresight: Temporal Anticipatory Reflective Optimization for Skill Learning in Agents
[PDF]LatentPrism: Adaptive Hidden-State Decoupling for Robust and Near-Lossless LLM Backdoor Defense
[PDF]DocTrek: Tree-Guided Agentic Reinforcement Learning via Dense Rewards for Document Understanding
[PDF]Neurosymbolic Generation of Valid Cryptic Crosswords with Proof-Guided Clue Generation and Constraint Solver Driven Grid Construction
[PDF]EMO: A Closed-Loop Test-Time Computation Framework via Alternating Context Optimization and Logits Steering
1 If this project is interesting to you, reach out at [email protected].