acceptodds: Which papers will get accepted at ICLR 2027?

Abstract

A prediction market on peer review. Each paper has a market on its decision (accept or reject), priced by researchers who stake $rep, an in app currency, on what they expect. Everyone who signs up receives 1,000 $rep to trade with in each venue. Prices are probabilities, and every market settles when the venue publishes its decisions. It is a game made for fun, and has no connection to ICLR, OpenReview or any other organisation. acceptodds is an open source project, open to contributions, at github.com/benedict-armstrong/acceptodds.¹

Join traders from

National University of Singapore
University of Central Florida
Xi'an Jiaotong University
University of Bristol
Hefei University of Technology
Hainan University
Wrocław University of Science and Technology
Industrial University of Santander
University of British Columbia
Sapienza University of Rome
Johns Hopkins University
Tel Aviv University
ShanghaiTech University
University of Chinese Academy of Sciences
King Abdullah University of Science and Technology
Shenzhen University
University of California, Santa Cruz
Massachusetts Geological Survey
University of Alberta
Xiamen University
University of Toronto
Nanyang Technological University
Jilin University
INHA University
Ajou University
University of Rochester
Mohamed bin Zayed University of Artificial Intelligence
Indian Institute of Technology Dhanbad
Russell Berrie Nanotechnology Institute
The University of Queensland
Wuhan University of Technology
Chinese University of Hong Kong
Indian Institute of Technology Roorkee
ShenZhen MSU-BIT University
Shandong University
Beijing Institute of Technology
University of Texas at Austin
University of Houston
华南理工大学
ByteDance
Virginia Tech
University of California, Berkeley
Hong Kong University of Science and Technology
University of Virginia
United International University
Texas A&M University
The Chinese University of Hong Kong
Seoul National University
National Technical University of Athens
Meta
Beijing University of Posts and Telecommunications
King's College London
Westlake University
Nanjing University
Institute of Computing Technology
Meituan
Korea University
University of Chicago
北京大学
Hangzhou Dianzi University
Nanjing University of Science and Technology
Fudan University
Imperial College London
Hunan University
University of Pennsylvania
Massachusetts Institute of Technology
Princeton University
Indian Institute of Technology Kanpur
Southern University of Science and Technology
Tsinghua University
Institute of Automation
Southeast University
University of Macau
École Polytechnique
Shanghai Jiao Tong University
Clifford B. Kinley Trust
Ben-Gurion University of the Negev
Mila
University of California, Riverside
Brown University
National Taiwan University
University of Illinois Urbana-Champaign
Xidian University
Harvard University
National Research University Higher School of Economics
Indian Institute of Technology Kharagpur
Ludwig-Maximilians-Universität München
University of Tübingen
Adelaide University
New York University
Universität Ulm
Los Alamos National Laboratory
University of Alicante
University of California San Diego
Ant Group
Xinjiang University
ETH Zurich
National Yang Ming Chiao Tung University
University College London
The Hong Kong University of Science and Technology (Guangzhou)
Washington University in St. Louis
Indian Institute of Technology Jodhpur
University of Toronto (Computer Science Department)
Hanoi University of Science and Technology
University of Auckland
Huazhong University of Science and Technology
苏州大学
VinUniversity
Central South University
Cornell University
Johannes Kepler University of Linz
University of Waterloo
University of Michigan
Institute of Information Engineering
Kyung Hee University
Indian Institute of Technology Delhi
West Virginia University
McGill University
École nationale des ponts et chaussées
Amazon
Hong Kong Polytechnic University
Rutgers, The State University of New Jersey
University of Moratuwa
Weizmann Institute of Science
Renmin University of China
Tongji University
New Jersey Institute of Technology
University of California, Santa Barbara
University of Southern California
National University of Defense Technology
University of Sydney
Peking University
University of Tokyo
Duke University
City University of Hong Kong
Northeast University at Qinhuangdao Campus
Deakin University
Sun Yat-sen University
Hong Kong Baptist University
Beihang University
Stony Brook University
University of Hong Kong
Karlsruhe Institute of Technology
University of Cambridge
University of Science and Technology Beijing
Birla Institute of Technology and Science, Pilani – Pilani Campus
Columbia University
Roche
North South University
Korea Advanced Institute of Science and Technology
Pohang University of Science and Technology
Dartmouth College
University of Maryland, College Park
Georgia Institute of Technology
Northeastern University
University of Electronic Science and Technology of China
The University of Melbourne
Delhi Technological University
Monash University
Beijing Jiaotong University
International Institute of Information Technology, Hyderabad
East China Normal University
Inria
Emory University
University of California, Los Angeles
Chang'an University
University of Washington
ELLIS Institute Tübingen
Tencent
University of Delaware
The Ohio State University
Stanford University
Toyota Technological Institute at Chicago
University of Oxford
Waseda University
University of Technology Sydney
Beijing Normal University
Technische Universität Darmstadt
École Nationale Supérieure de Techniques Avancées
Technical University of Munich
The Chinese University of Hong Kong, Shenzhen
University of California, Irvine
Boston University
Northwestern University
Yonsei University
Uppsala University
Indraprastha Institute of Information Technology Delhi
University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill
Aalto University
Polytechnique Montréal
Harbin Institute of Technology
University of Science and Technology of China
Case Western Reserve University
University of Edinburgh
Alibaba
Technical University of Denmark
Tianjin University
University of California, Davis
Nankai University
Nanjing University of Aeronautics and Astronautics
PES University
Carnegie Mellon University
Dalian University of Technology
Rice University
University of Wisconsin–Madison
Shenzhen Institutes of Advanced Technology
Shanghai Innovation Institute
École Polytechnique Fédérale de Lausanne
University of Surrey
KTH Royal Institute of Technology

National University of Singapore
University of Central Florida
Xi'an Jiaotong University
University of Bristol
Hefei University of Technology
Hainan University
Wrocław University of Science and Technology
Industrial University of Santander
University of British Columbia
Sapienza University of Rome
Johns Hopkins University
Tel Aviv University
ShanghaiTech University
University of Chinese Academy of Sciences
King Abdullah University of Science and Technology
Shenzhen University
University of California, Santa Cruz
Massachusetts Geological Survey
University of Alberta
Xiamen University
University of Toronto
Nanyang Technological University
Jilin University
INHA University
Ajou University
University of Rochester
Mohamed bin Zayed University of Artificial Intelligence
Indian Institute of Technology Dhanbad
Russell Berrie Nanotechnology Institute
The University of Queensland
Wuhan University of Technology
Chinese University of Hong Kong
Indian Institute of Technology Roorkee
ShenZhen MSU-BIT University
Shandong University
Beijing Institute of Technology
University of Texas at Austin
University of Houston
华南理工大学
ByteDance
Virginia Tech
University of California, Berkeley
Hong Kong University of Science and Technology
University of Virginia
United International University
Texas A&M University
The Chinese University of Hong Kong
Seoul National University
National Technical University of Athens
Meta
Beijing University of Posts and Telecommunications
King's College London
Westlake University
Nanjing University
Institute of Computing Technology
Meituan
Korea University
University of Chicago
北京大学
Hangzhou Dianzi University
Nanjing University of Science and Technology
Fudan University
Imperial College London
Hunan University
University of Pennsylvania
Massachusetts Institute of Technology
Princeton University
Indian Institute of Technology Kanpur
Southern University of Science and Technology
Tsinghua University
Institute of Automation
Southeast University
University of Macau
École Polytechnique
Shanghai Jiao Tong University
Clifford B. Kinley Trust
Ben-Gurion University of the Negev
Mila
University of California, Riverside
Brown University
National Taiwan University
University of Illinois Urbana-Champaign
Xidian University
Harvard University
National Research University Higher School of Economics
Indian Institute of Technology Kharagpur
Ludwig-Maximilians-Universität München
University of Tübingen
Adelaide University
New York University
Universität Ulm
Los Alamos National Laboratory
University of Alicante
University of California San Diego
Ant Group
Xinjiang University
ETH Zurich
National Yang Ming Chiao Tung University
University College London
The Hong Kong University of Science and Technology (Guangzhou)
Washington University in St. Louis
Indian Institute of Technology Jodhpur
University of Toronto (Computer Science Department)
Hanoi University of Science and Technology
University of Auckland
Huazhong University of Science and Technology
苏州大学
VinUniversity
Central South University
Cornell University
Johannes Kepler University of Linz
University of Waterloo
University of Michigan
Institute of Information Engineering
Kyung Hee University
Indian Institute of Technology Delhi
West Virginia University
McGill University
École nationale des ponts et chaussées
Amazon
Hong Kong Polytechnic University
Rutgers, The State University of New Jersey
University of Moratuwa
Weizmann Institute of Science
Renmin University of China
Tongji University
New Jersey Institute of Technology
University of California, Santa Barbara
University of Southern California
National University of Defense Technology
University of Sydney
Peking University
University of Tokyo
Duke University
City University of Hong Kong
Northeast University at Qinhuangdao Campus
Deakin University
Sun Yat-sen University
Hong Kong Baptist University
Beihang University
Stony Brook University
University of Hong Kong
Karlsruhe Institute of Technology
University of Cambridge
University of Science and Technology Beijing
Birla Institute of Technology and Science, Pilani – Pilani Campus
Columbia University
Roche
North South University
Korea Advanced Institute of Science and Technology
Pohang University of Science and Technology
Dartmouth College
University of Maryland, College Park
Georgia Institute of Technology
Northeastern University
University of Electronic Science and Technology of China
The University of Melbourne
Delhi Technological University
Monash University
Beijing Jiaotong University
International Institute of Information Technology, Hyderabad
East China Normal University
Inria
Emory University
University of California, Los Angeles
Chang'an University
University of Washington
ELLIS Institute Tübingen
Tencent
University of Delaware
The Ohio State University
Stanford University
Toyota Technological Institute at Chicago
University of Oxford
Waseda University
University of Technology Sydney
Beijing Normal University
Technische Universität Darmstadt
École Nationale Supérieure de Techniques Avancées
Technical University of Munich
The Chinese University of Hong Kong, Shenzhen
University of California, Irvine
Boston University
Northwestern University
Yonsei University
Uppsala University
Indraprastha Institute of Information Technology Delhi
University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill
Aalto University
Polytechnique Montréal
Harbin Institute of Technology
University of Science and Technology of China
Case Western Reserve University
University of Edinburgh
Alibaba
Technical University of Denmark
Tianjin University
University of California, Davis
Nankai University
Nanjing University of Aeronautics and Astronautics
PES University
Carnegie Mellon University
Dalian University of Technology
Rice University
University of Wisconsin–Madison
Shenzhen Institutes of Advanced Technology
Shanghai Innovation Institute
École Polytechnique Fédérale de Lausanne
University of Surrey
KTH Royal Institute of Technology

sort:activity odds

[PDF]Distillation Defenses Easily Break After Reinforcement Learning

[PDF]Where to Look, Where to Edit: Enhancing Editability in Inversion-Free Editing

[PDF]Know More but Say Less: Bridging the Generation–Discrimination Gap of VLMs via Latent-Guided Verification

[PDF]Decoupled Conditional Alignment for Partially View-Aligned Clustering

[PDF]Information-Theoretic Corrective Example Selection (IT-CES): Calibrated In-Context Example Selection for Automated Code Correction

[PDF]Structure Lives in the Representation: Phase-Field Diffusion for Robust ECG Delineation

[PDF]TIE: Time Interval Encoding for Video Generation over Events

[PDF]Latent-Geometry-Aware Training for Domain Genearlization

[PDF]Attending Yet Hallucinating: Inhibitory Evidence Deficits in Vision-language Models

[PDF]AuditGym: Can Black-Box Audits Verify the Model Behind an LLM API?

[PDF]When Instructions Retrieve Trajectories: Diagnosing and Mitigating Generalization Failures in VLA Models

[PDF]The Safety Criticality Number: Cascade Stability and Intervention Thresholds for AI Agents

[PDF]CoR-OPD: Verified Local Repair and Handback for On-Policy Distillation of Long-Horizon Agents

[PDF]Regime-Dependent Inference-Time Compute Allocation for Agentic Systems: When Deeper Reasoning Wins

[PDF]RETDet: Degradation-Aware Text as a Detachable Prior for RGB-Event Object Detection

[PDF]Discover, Falsify, Revise: Auditing Input-Use Claims from Source Code to Predictive Contribution in Agent-Discovered Cell Models

[PDF]Sharp Limits and Efficient Recovery of Latent Memberships in Random-Design Regression

[PDF]DGP-HPCL: Dual-Prior-Guided Hypergraph Prototype Contrastive Learning for Brain Tumor Segmentation

[PDF]T-LRM: Temporal-aware LRM for multi-view dynamic scene reconstruction

[PDF]Beyond Replacement: Levenshtein Editing for Diffusion Language Models

[PDF]Tree Residual Network: Restoring Graph Connectivity over a Tree Backbone

[PDF]RayCo4D:Ray-Conditioned Continuous Motion Model for Monocular 4D Dynamic Reconstruction

[PDF]DLWM: Diverse Latent World Models for Efficient Multimodal Reasoning

[PDF]Level of Detail Attention: Allocating Resolution Instead of Sparsity

[PDF]TriEval: A Three-Facet Framework for Modeling Capability, Task Difficulty, and Prompt Sensitivity in LLM Evaluation

[PDF]Learning to Search Beyond Lines

[PDF]LensBridge: Frequency-Guided Compound Degradation Adaptation for Lens Aberration Correction and Veiling Glare Removal

[PDF]LiveAnyRoleBench: Towards Role-playing as Any Entity

[PDF]CyFM: Cylindrical Optimal Transport for Few-Step Complex-Valued Flow Matching

[PDF]Deep Message-Passing GNNs Have a Backward Problem: Kronecker-Aligned Feedback Training

[PDF]Feature Attribution from Multi-Source Data with Heterogeneous Observation Patterns

[PDF]ReMarkBench: Benchmarking Agentic Grading of Raw Examination Documents

[PDF]Guidelines as Control Logic for Multimodal Sequential Clinical Decision-Making

[PDF]Sharpness-Aware Minimization and Muon: Robustness Under the Spectral Norm

ℓ_{p}

-Power Heavy-Tailed Diffusion Models

[PDF]Compile the Catalog, Not the Task: ToolGraph as a Tool-Use Agent Harness that Updates, Scales, and Transfers

[PDF]Where Precision Matters: Selection-Regret Learning for Quantized SAM 2

[PDF]CARE-PO: Controllable Tool-Call Efficiency for LLM Agents

[PDF]Heterogeneous Agentic Coevolution

[PDF]Who Acts, to Whom, and What They Say: Action-Aware Social Simulation at Scale

[PDF]QTrack: Learning to Use Temporal Evidence for Reference-Grounded Video Tracking

[PDF]SocialRL: Learning Social Intelligence Across Multi-turn Dialogue and Reward Design

[PDF]What Do Attack-Success Rates Measure? A Matched-Sham Control for GUI-Agent Injection Benchmarks

[PDF]Dynamic Sketching for Efficient SGD via Kernel Mean Approximation with Random Features

[PDF]Artemis: Geometry-Grounded Multi-Agent Driving World Models with Shared 3D State and Progressive Memory Update

[PDF]Geometric Supercharger: Data-Informed Hyperbolic Initialization of MLP-based Sparse Neural Networks

[PDF]FlowLong: Inference-time Long Video Generation via Manifold-constrained Tweedie Matching

[PDF]Learning How Factors Interact: Conditioned Tensor Products for Unsupervised Hyperspectral Super-Resolution

[PDF]ReFactor: Reflection-Augmented Agentic Video Generation

[PDF]Bounding Retraining Equivalence and the Deletion Floor in Materials Machine Unlearning

¹ If this project is interesting to you, reach out at [email protected].