acceptodds: Which papers will get accepted at ICLR 2027?
Abstract
A prediction market on peer review. Each paper has a market on its decision (accept or reject), priced by researchers who stake $rep, an in app currency, on what they expect. Everyone who signs up receives 1,000 $rep to trade with. Prices are probabilities, and every market settles when the venue publishes its decisions. It is a game made for fun, and has no connection to ICLR, OpenReview or any other organisation. acceptodds is an open source project, open to contributions, at github.com/benedict-armstrong/acceptodds.1
- ETH Zurich
- University of Maryland, College Park
- Pohang University of Science and Technology
- Birla Institute of Technology and Science, Pilani – Pilani Campus
- Amazon
- École Polytechnique Fédérale de Lausanne
- Harvard University
- Los Alamos National Laboratory
- Mila
- Roche
- Technical University of Munich
- University of Illinois Urbana-Champaign
- University of Tübingen
- Aalto University
- Delhi Technological University
- ELLIS Institute Tübingen
- Indian Institute of Technology Delhi
- Industrial University of Santander
- INHA University
- New York University
- University of California, Irvine
- University of Pennsylvania
- University of Southern California
- University of Surrey
- Uppsala University
- West Virginia University
[PDF]BioMetaEvo-GNN: Bayesian Fourier Message Passing with Immune Memory for Robust Community Detection60 $rep39%
[PDF]Scaling to Tens of Thousands of Test-Time Iterations with Loop-Native Attention Residuals2 $rep82%
[PDF]From Reweighting to Rewriting: Unlocking the Intervention Effects of Influential Samples in Training Data Attribution490 $rep78%
[PDF]Physical Information, Numerical Resolution, and Learned Approximation in Born Scattering2 $rep46%
[PDF]Depth-Resolved Gene Expression Estimation from Tissue Morphology and Sparse Spatial Transcriptomics38 $rep71%
[PDF]SPIRA: A Spatially-Variant Reinforcement-Learning Agent for Unsupervised Imaging Inverse Problems302 $rep78%
[PDF]Global Latent Workspace: Shaping the Workspace for Multi-Agent Latent Communication via Reinforced Attention72 $rep78%
[PDF]Scaling Influence Functions in LLMs through Eigenbasis-Corrected One-Bit Gradient Projection406 $rep76%
[PDF]SpectralEarth-FM: Bringing Hyperspectral Imagery into Multimodal Earth Observation Pretraining23 $rep85%
[PDF]Agent-Guided Hypothesis-Driven Symbolic Regression for Car-Following Dynamics Discovery2 $rep22%
[PDF]COMPASS: Routing via Capability-Oriented Model Profiling with Adaptive Search, Selection, and Tool Use2 $rep64%
[PDF]Route-Conditioned Prediction Extrapolation: Dependent-Data Directions, Persistence, and Certification2 $rep40%
[PDF]Prompting with Connections: Graph-Guided Attribute Selection for Test-Time Calibration2 $rep79%
[PDF]RATIO: Reasoning Analysis and Token-level Inference Optimization for Quantized Reasoning Models21 $rep72%
[PDF]FisherCBM: Concept Bottlenecks with Closed-Form Concept Transport and Fisher-Bounded Residual2 $rep73%
[PDF]ReqMemBench: Benchmarking Coding Agents for Temporal Requirement-State Reconstruction in Evolving Projects201 $rep65%
[PDF]DevelopmentODE: Structured Neural ODEs for Early Brain Development Dynamics Across a Decade2 $rep79%
[PDF]ReDyFlow: Temporal-Pyramid Residual Flow Matching for Dyadic Conversational Avatar Generation82 $rep77%
[PDF]When Do Relations Reveal Factors: Learning Identifiable Representations from Typed Relations2 $rep83%
[PDF]ChronoSync: Recovering Long-Horizon Coupled Dynamics via Cross-Field Synchronization of Decoupled Diffusion Models24 $rep84%
[PDF]GLoDe: Global–Local Decomposition for Histology-based Spatial Gene Expression Prediction46 $rep73%
1 If this project is interesting to you, reach out at [email protected].