acceptodds: Which papers will get accepted at ICLR 2027?
Abstract
A prediction market on peer review. Each paper has a market on its decision (accept or reject), priced by researchers who stake $rep, an in app currency, on what they expect. Everyone who signs up receives 1,000 $rep to trade with. Prices are probabilities, and every market settles when the venue publishes its decisions. It is a game made for fun, and has no connection to ICLR, OpenReview or any other organisation. acceptodds is an open source project, open to contributions, at github.com/benedict-armstrong/acceptodds.1
[PDF]Disclosure Begets Disclosure: A Self-Reinforcing Privacy Loop in LLM Agents with Persistent Memory
[PDF]TTA-GT: Time-to-Accuracy Oriented Adaptive First/Second-Order Gradient Tracking for Decentralized Training
[PDF]DelTA: Discriminative Token Credit Assignment for Reinforcement Learning with Verifiable Rewards
[PDF]STAR-GRPO: Canonical Anchoring and Reliability-First Advantages against Representation-Dependent Reward Hacking
[PDF]Seeing the Whole Scene: Scaling Vision-Language Models for Ultra-High-Resolution Earth Observation
[PDF]Procedural Faithfulness in Data Refinement: Can LLMs Execute Compositional, Order-Sensitive Recipes?
[PDF]Environment-Conditioned Molecular Spectral Prediction: A Controlled Study of Data, Representation, and Architecture
1 If this project is interesting to you, reach out at [email protected].