acceptodds: Which papers will get accepted at ICLR 2027?

Abstract

A prediction market on peer review. Each paper has a market on its decision (accept or reject), priced by researchers who stake $rep, an in app currency, on what they expect. Everyone who signs up receives 1,000 $rep to trade with. Prices are probabilities, and every market settles when the venue publishes its decisions. It is a game made for fun, and has no connection to ICLR, OpenReview or any other organisation. acceptodds is an open source project, open to contributions, at github.com/benedict-armstrong/acceptodds.¹

Join traders from

北京大学
Aalto University
Technical University of Munich
Indian Institute of Technology Delhi
New York University
University of California, Santa Barbara
University of Tübingen
University of Maryland, College Park
The Chinese University of Hong Kong
ELLIS Institute Tübingen
Massachusetts Institute of Technology
National Taiwan University
West Virginia University
Harvard University
Mohamed bin Zayed University of Artificial Intelligence
University of Surrey
University of Illinois Urbana-Champaign
École Polytechnique Fédérale de Lausanne
ETH Zurich
University of California, Los Angeles
Polytechnique Montréal
University of Southern California
Indian Institute of Technology Dhanbad
Ludwig-Maximilians-Universität München
University of California, Irvine
INHA University
Emory University
Mila
Amazon
Los Alamos National Laboratory
Delhi Technological University
Georgia Institute of Technology
Roche
University of Pennsylvania
Shanghai Jiao Tong University
University of Delaware
United International University
Indian Institute of Technology Kharagpur
Virginia Tech
Pohang University of Science and Technology
Industrial University of Santander
University of Moratuwa
Birla Institute of Technology and Science, Pilani – Pilani Campus
Uppsala University

北京大学
Aalto University
Technical University of Munich
Indian Institute of Technology Delhi
New York University
University of California, Santa Barbara
University of Tübingen
University of Maryland, College Park
The Chinese University of Hong Kong
ELLIS Institute Tübingen
Massachusetts Institute of Technology
National Taiwan University
West Virginia University
Harvard University
Mohamed bin Zayed University of Artificial Intelligence
University of Surrey
University of Illinois Urbana-Champaign
École Polytechnique Fédérale de Lausanne
ETH Zurich
University of California, Los Angeles
Polytechnique Montréal
University of Southern California
Indian Institute of Technology Dhanbad
Ludwig-Maximilians-Universität München
University of California, Irvine
INHA University
Emory University
Mila
Amazon
Los Alamos National Laboratory
Delhi Technological University
Georgia Institute of Technology
Roche
University of Pennsylvania
Shanghai Jiao Tong University
University of Delaware
United International University
Indian Institute of Technology Kharagpur
Virginia Tech
Pohang University of Science and Technology
Industrial University of Santander
University of Moratuwa
Birla Institute of Technology and Science, Pilani – Pilani Campus
Uppsala University

ICLR 2027sort:activity acceptance volume newest

[PDF]Distogram-Based Structural Loss: A Plug-In Module for Protein Inverse Folding

[PDF]What drives counterfactual-resoponse gains in policy distillation?

[PDF]Sketching Faster than Dimension Times Update Time

[PDF]Learning to Drive from the Future, Planning Trajectories in One Forward Pass

[PDF]MULTICS: Generative Multi-Player World Model with Hierarchical Communication

[PDF]Weft: Scaling Tool-Use Post-Training for General-Purpose Agents

[PDF]When Feature Bagging Helps Adaptive Search: SNR Theory and Prospective mtry Selection

[PDF]EMG-FoundBench: A Systematic Benchmark of Foundation Model Transfer and Adaptation for Electromyography

[PDF]WebMCPWorld: Can LLMs Synthesize WebMCP Tools to Finish Open-Ended Tasks in Web APPs?

[PDF]DeepDP: Automated Synthesis of Recurrences for Dynamic Programming Problems

[PDF]CATOS: Compute–Accuracy Tradeoff Scalarization for Multiobjective Optimization in Neural architecture Search

^{2}

-VLA: Dual-Memory Dual-Frequency Vision-Language-Action Model For Long Dynamic Manipulation

[PDF]Optimizer-Model Consistency: Full Finetuning with the Same Optimizer as Pretraining Forgets Less

[PDF]Continual Context Compression: Training Models to Learn Continually at Test Time

[PDF]Warm-Started Oja Matches Pooled PCA to First Order

[PDF]Domain Generalization in-the-Wild: Disentangling Classification from Domain-Aware Representations

[PDF]DecayFM: A Physics-Structured Foundation Model for Data-Efficient Rare Particle Decay Identification

[PDF]Resolving Long-Tail Ambiguity in Unsupervised 3D Point Cloud Segmentation with Language Priors

[PDF]CLEAR: Calibrated Linear Erasure Auditing of Representations

[PDF]AmbiguityBench: Reasoning Modes Bidirectionally Shift Ambiguity Sensitivity in Frontier LLMs

[PDF]Support Is Free, Bandwidth Is Not: Basis-Parameterised Convolutions for Generative EEG.

[PDF]Shifting Mechanisms: How Positional Encoding Choice Shapes In-Context Retrieval

[PDF]Rethinking EEG-to-Image Decoding: From Fine-Grained Temporal Encoding to Hierarchy-Consistent Design

[PDF]More Evidence Makes Advice Easier To Certify And Harder To Use

[PDF]Neutralizing 0th-Order Residual Interferences in Layer-wise Relevance Propagation via Geometric Trajectory Realignment

[PDF]VeriMem: Serving-Time Verification for Mutable Agent Memory

[PDF]Geometry-Grounded Video Depth Estimation

[PDF]What Goes Up Should Come Down: A Training-Distribution Control for Interpretability Metrics

[PDF]GeoMerge-OPD: Balanced Skill Integration in Vision-Language-Action Models

[PDF]SAGE: Subspace Alignment for Classifier-Free Guidance in Mixture-of-Experts Diffusion Models

[PDF]Reasoning Arena: Trace Tournaments When Verifiable Rewards Fall Short

[PDF]Fragile Follow-Through: Uncovering How User Revisions Disrupt Long-Horizon Task Execution in LLM Agents

[PDF]PiERN: Token-Level Routing for Integrating High-Precision Computation and Reasoning

[PDF]LoopArena: Benchmarking Models as Runtime Controllers for Loop Engineering

[PDF]Task-Conditioned Quality Learning for Heterogeneous and Unreliable Multi-Agent Systems

[PDF]Ground, Relate, and Match: Optimal-Transport-Guided Graph Grounding for Compositional Image–Text Matching

[PDF]PRISM: A Probe Suite for Retrieval, Interference, and Selective Memory

S^{3}

: Spectral Null-Space Swap Makes Reasoning Models Efficient

[PDF]CRIQ: Feature Interaction Quantification in Deep Neural Networks with Coordinate-Ray Integrals

[PDF]Extracting Behavior from Frozen Latent World Models: Experience-Anchored Proposals with Offline Verifier Alignment

[PDF]AF-RAG: Active Falsification for Local Top-K Contamination in Literature-Grounded Question Answering

[PDF]Unveiling Lookahead’s Potential in Sharpness-Aware Minimization: Convergence and Generalization Revisited

[PDF]Continual Graph Retrieval-Augmented Generation under Corpus Expansion via Path Memory

[PDF]ARISE-RL: Agentic Rubric-Grounded Iterative Self-Evolution with Reinforcement Learning

[PDF]Learning from Variation for Open-Domain Few-Shot Class-Incremental Learning

[PDF]WEAK QUERY CALIBRATION FOR MULTI-VIEW UNIQUE COUNTING UNDER UNRELIABLE OVERLAP PROXIES

[PDF]Quantization-Aware Kalman Estimation for Diffusion Sampling

[PDF]RubricFly: Rubric-Guided Adaptive Evaluation and Judge Learning for Multilingual Translation

[PDF]KernelAudit: Can LLM-Generated GPU Kernels Be Both Reliable and Competitive on Real-World Workloads?

[PDF]Rewarding Non-Verifiable Intermediate Steps for Photorealistic Multimodal Reasoning

¹ If this project is interesting to you, reach out at [email protected].