acceptodds: Which papers will get accepted at ICLR 2027?
Abstract
A prediction market on peer review. Each paper has a market on its decision (accept or reject), priced by researchers who stake $rep, an in app currency, on what they expect. Everyone who signs up receives 1,000 $rep to trade with. Prices are probabilities, and every market settles when the venue publishes its decisions. It is a game made for fun, and has no connection to ICLR, OpenReview or any other organisation. acceptodds is an open source project, open to contributions, at github.com/benedict-armstrong/acceptodds.1
[PDF]PNEO: Pairwise Neural Energy Operators for Scalable Collision Dynamics of 3D Deformable Objects149 $rep81%
[PDF]I Don't Miss You, but I Do: Self-Explanation Faithfulness of Modality Missingness in Vision-Language Models200 $rep80%
[PDF]RECOURSE AS A CONTRACT: CERTIFYING REALIZED RECOURSE UNDER BEHAVIORAL AND MODEL DRIFT299 $rep80%
[PDF]DuplexAvatar: Unified 3D Motion Understanding and Generation for Full-Duplex Spoken Dialogue143 $rep80%
[PDF]Finsler Flow Matching: Dynamics-Aware Geodesic Interpolation for Single-Snapshot Trajectory Inference599 $rep79%
[PDF]HIDDENFACE: STREAMING CONVERSATIONAL FACIAL MOTION FROM HIDDEN STATES OF A LARGE AUDIOLANGUAGE MODEL47 $rep79%
[PDF]From Reweighting to Rewriting: Unlocking the Intervention Effects of Influential Samples in Training Data Attribution488 $rep79%
[PDF]Global Latent Workspace: Shaping the Workspace for Multi-Agent Latent Communication via Reinforced Attention70 $rep78%
[PDF]ResMark: Late-Stage Residual Insertion for Fidelity-Preserving Watermarking in Diffusion Denoisers99 $rep78%
[PDF]RELACE: RETROSPECTIVE LIKELIHOOD-BASED ACTION CREDIT ESTIMATION FOR LONG-HORIZON LANGUAGE AGENTS49 $rep78%
[PDF]KNOWING HOW MANY IS NOT KNOWING WHICH ONES:NATIVE COMPLETE-SET GROUNDING IN MULTIMODAL LARGE LANGUAGE MODELS525 $rep78%
[PDF]Looped Transformers under the Jacobian Lens: Does the Global Workspace Survive Recurrence?99 $rep78%
[PDF]ReDyFlow: Temporal-Pyramid Residual Flow Matching for Dyadic Conversational Avatar Generation80 $rep77%
1 If this project is interesting to you, reach out at [email protected].