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Under review as a conference paper at ICLR 2027

Structural Uncertainty in Physics-Informed Inverse Problems: The Hidden Risk in Scientific AI

Abstract

Machine learning is increasingly used to infer physical laws from data, yet a model that reproduces observations accurately can still encode a physically non-identifiable coefficient function. This danger is particularly acute in physics-informed machine learning (PIML), where coefficient functions of governing equations—such as Hamiltonians or Lagrangians—are learned by minimizing physics-based predictive losses. We show that this failure can originate in the governing equations themselves: multiple, physically distinct coefficient functions can satisfy the same differential equations on the same observations, a situation that additional data cannot resolve when the non-uniqueness is structural. We introduce a rank-based criterion that diagnoses this structural uncertainty before training and evaluates whether candidate physical constraints restore identifiability. Specifically, we combine the numerical null space of the equation matrix with the DNN tangent space to select the strength of a physical constraint without ground truth, based on the reduction of structural uncertainty. Experiments on Hamiltonian, Lagrangian, diffusion, and wave-kinetic systems demonstrate that predictive accuracy, structural identifiability, and physical-model recovery are distinct quantities.

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