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Under review as a conference paper at ICLR 2027

Post-Hoc Latent Conflict-Aware Evidence Adjustment for Robust Evidential Deep Learning

Abstract

Reliable uncertainty quantification is essential for deploying deep learning models in high-stakes settings, where out-of-distribution and adversarial inputs can induce confident but unreliable predictions. Evidential Deep Learning provides efficient uncertainty estimates in a single forward pass, but can still assign high evidential strength to inputs that are poorly supported by the learned representation, such as adversarial inputs. We introduce CLEAR, a lightweight, task-agnostic post-hoc method that improves evidential robustness without retraining or altering the base prediction. Using held-out calibration data, CLEAR characterises the group-conditioned geometry of the model's latent space. At inference, it efficiently generates perturbation views directly in the latent space and measures their conflict relative to the calibrated geometry of the predicted group. High latent conflict indicates unsupported evidence, which CLEAR uses to selectively reduce evidential strength while retaining evidence for latent-consistent inputs. Across classification, regression, and object detection benchmarks, CLEAR substantially improves out-of-distribution and adversarial detection while preserving predictive performance and low computational overhead.

open until 14 Dec 2026

est. 32% chance this paper gets accepted at ICLR 2027.

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