Policy-Adaptive Credit Assignment for Spatial Reasoning with Verifiable Rewards

Image-based spatial reasoning requires perception, decomposition, and inference, but the stage that limits accuracy can change during training. Answer-level rewards neither localize failures to individual stages nor provide discriminative group-relative feedback when all rollouts receive the same reward. Process supervision provides intermediate feedback, but fixed weights cannot adapt reward allocation to these changing bottlenecks. To address this gap, we propose CALIPER, an adaptive process-reward framework supported by SpatialTrace, a corpus of stage-decomposed spatial reasoning traces. CALIPER jointly estimates the associations between stage-wise reference coverage and answer correctness through within-group ridge regression, using these associations as utility proxies to gradually update reward weights. The resulting process reward supervises all rollout groups, including uniformly failing ones. Because utility estimates can become unreliable when answer-discriminative groups are scarce, a closed-loop harness monitors estimator reliability and validation performance to guide checkpoint rollback, rollout diversification, and early stopping. Extensive experiments across eight benchmarks and three backbones show that CALIPER achieves the highest mean under both one-shot and harness training, with consistent gains over fixed allocation across RL optimizers. Further analyses confirm the benefits of adaptive reward allocation and harness control, with favorable scaling in model/data size.