The exact reconstruction threshold for the three-state symmetric channel
Abstract
We determine the exact reconstruction threshold for the symmetric three-state broadcast process on every regular b-ary tree, b ≥ 2, and every observed Poisson Galton–Watson tree of mean d > 1. Reconstruction occurs exactly when , with d = b in the regular model; there is non-reconstruction at equality for either sign of the channel parameter. The Poisson advantage is averaged over trees and spins without conditioning on survival. This resolves the all-degree three-state regular-tree prediction. Combining the Poisson theorem with known tree-to-graph and algorithmic results gives the exact weak-recovery threshold for the symmetric three-community sparse stochastic block model with independent uniform labels, fixed within- and between-community rates , and mean degree : recovery is possible exactly when . Above this threshold it is achievable in time; at or below it, weak recovery is information-theoretically impossible.
est. 50% chance this result is independently verified by the end of 2027.
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