Learn from your own latents and not from tokens: A sample-complexity theory

Generative models, from diffusion models to large language models, achieve remarkable performance but at a cost in training data orders of magnitude larger than what biological learners require. An alternative paradigm has emerged in which networks are trained to predict their own latent representations of related views or masked regions, as in data2vec and JEPA – an idea related to predictive-coding accounts of the cortex. Despite strong empirical results, the theoretical understanding of these methods remains limited. Central questions include: by how much does latent prediction actually improve data efficiency? Is there a benefit to stacking such methods into multi-scale hierarchies? We answer both using as data a tractable probabilistic context-free grammar that captures the compositional structure of natural language and images. We prove that latent prediction recovers the full latent tree of depth $L$ from a number of samples scaling as $m^3$, where $m$ is the number of production rules per symbol. This is much fewer than the $m^L$ samples required by supervised learning and the $m^{L+1}$ required by token-level SSL. We confirm this bound with (i) a hierarchical clustering algorithm, (ii) an end-to-end neural network whose predictor-clusterer modules predict their own latents at each level via gradient descent, and (iii) the first sample-complexity analysis of data2vec, which we show implicitly performs hierarchical latent prediction. This suggests that explicit stacking such as H-JEPA is largely redundant.