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Published as a conference paper at NeurIPS 2026

On the Complexity of Discounted Robust MDPs with Uncertainty Sets

Ali Asadi, Krishnendu Chatterjee, Alipasha Montaseri, Ali Shafiee

Abstract

A basic model in sequential decision making is the Markov decision process (MDP), which is extended to Robust MDPs (RMDPs) by allowing uncertainty in transition probabilities and optimizing against the worst-case transition probabilities from the uncertainty sets. The class of -rectangular RMDPs with uncertainty sets provides a flexible and expressive model for such problems. We study this class of RMDPs with discounted-sum objectives and a constant discount factor. The existence of an efficient algorithm for this class is a fundamental theoretical question in optimization and sequential decision making. Previous results only establish a strongly polynomial-time algorithm for uncertainty sets. In this work, our main results are as follows: (a) we show that for any compact uncertainty set, the policy iteration algorithm for RMDPs is strongly polynomial with oracle access to solutions of Robust Markov chains (RMCs); (b) we present strongly polynomial-time bounds on the policy iteration algorithm for RMCs with and uncertainty sets; and (c) we establish hardness results for RMCs with uncertainty sets for integer satisfying . Finally, motivated by our theoretical bounds, we present experimental results showing the practical efficiency of policy iteration for RMDPs with uncertainty sets.

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