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Under review as a conference paper at ICLR 2027

KREDIT: High-Dimensional Conditional Independence Testing via Kernel-Residualized Distances

Abstract

Conditional independence testing underpins graphical model learning and causal discovery, yet high-dimensional inference with estimated conditional distance features remains challenging. To this end, we introduce KREDIT (Kernel-Residualized Distance Testing), a nonparametric framework combining two-sided distance residualization, independent conditional-mean fitting, and off-diagonal joint studentization. An exact pair-kernel analysis separates sampling variation from directional regression error. Under explicit moment, spectral, and prediction conditions, we prove feasible Gaussian limits, finite-sample approximation bounds, and dimension-dependent convergence rates. We further establish shrinking-signal power guarantees, empirical-variance inference under nondegenerate alternatives, and testing and estimation lower bounds in a rectangular Gaussian subexperiment. A specified nonlinear family remains detectable despite zero linear covariances. Simulation studies verify linear and nonlinear settings under which stratum-calibrated KREDIT has higher empirical power than the benchmark methods, with size near the nominal level. Wine chemistry and rolling gold–inflation analyses further illustrate its practical utility.

open until 14 Dec 2026

est. 32% chance this paper gets accepted at ICLR 2027.

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