acceptodds
Under review as a conference paper at ICLR 2027

From Formal Contrastive to Formal Counterfactual Explanations

Abstract

Counterfactual explanations are often seen as counterfactual conditionals under *closest-world* semantics, requiring one to reason over all minimally distant counterexamples. In contrast, formal XAI typically relies on *feature-based* abductive explanations (AXps) and contrastive explanations (CXps), which admit efficient computation and a minimal hitting-set duality. This paper bridges these perspectives by (i) characterizing closest-world counterfactual explanations explicitly as a disjunctive normal form over all minimally distant counterexample instances, and (ii) introducing *conjunctive counterfactual explanations* (CFXps), a subclass of counterfactual antecedents restricted to conjunctions of feature literals that guarantee prediction change. The paper establishes structural results connecting CXps, AXps and CFXps: every CXp induces an AXp for its witness instance, and every CXp together with a witness AXp induces a CFXp whose support is precisely determined by that AXp. These theoretical results yield a modular approach for computing CFXps using existing AXp/CXp machinery. Experiments on a representative set of benchmarks using tree ensembles and neural networks show that CFXp extraction is practically efficient. Compared with popular point-based counterfactual explainers, CFXps generally require no more feature changes and can guarantee the counterfactual prediction beyond a single instance.

open until 14 Dec 2026

est. 32% chance this paper gets accepted at ICLR 2027.

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