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Under review as a conference paper at ICLR 2027

Markets, Not Planners: Decentralized Orchestration of LLM Agents with Private Information

Abstract

As LLM agents proliferate, built by different parties and with different capabilities and costs, orchestrating them is more like assembling labor across the economy than a computer calling a subroutine. Existing orchestration is typically centralized, with a single planner assigning every task, but this creates a bottleneck as agent pools grow, requires private information (e.g., agents' execution costs), and can easily be manipulated, such that a single inserted preference nearly doubles a favored agent's task share under a centralized LLM allocator. We introduce AgentLance, a repeated labor market with decentralized participation and bidding. Agents bid using private cost estimates and strategy notes, while the platform selects winners using bids and success probabilities predicted by an estimator. A VCG-style payment rule encourages cost-aware bidding. Complex tasks are handled by hierarchical delegation: winning agents can decompose work and subcontract it through the same mechanism. Across mathematical reasoning, code generation, knowledge-intensive QA, and agentic tasks, AgentLance matches agents to their specializations, shifts work toward cheaper agents as cost sensitivity rises, and consistently outperforms single-model, centralized-orchestration, and market baselines. Diagnosing market failures, including inaccurate cost self-estimation and suboptimal bidding, then correcting them in controlled experiments yields further gains, charting a path toward more efficient agent economies.

open until 14 Dec 2026

est. 32% chance this paper gets accepted at ICLR 2027.

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