Bayesian optimization on amortized search space
Abstract
In real-world black-box optimization problems, a differentiable mechanistic simulator is often available that approximately predicts the behavior of the system as a function of the parameters being optimized. Here, we show how an amortized inverse map of such a simulator can be used in Bayesian optimization to restrict the search space while using a Gaussian process kernel that is aware of the original problem geometry. This allows for efficiently leveraging the low intrinsic dimensionality of the optimization problem. We derive regret bounds that highlight the benefits and limitations of this method and illustrate it with an application to drug dosing personalization in Parkinson's disease. We use, as a simulator, a pharmacokinetic/pharmacodynamic (PK/PD) model of a drug, a mechanistic model calibrated on population data with quantified parameter uncertainty. A dosing neural network is trained offline against the model, amortizing the map from patient PK/PD parameters to the regimen predicted to be optimal, and online Bayesian optimization then searches over this learned, low-dimensional representation rather than over raw dosages. Numerical simulations demonstrate the improved performance of our method in this application, as well as under simulator misspecification.
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