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Under review as a conference paper at ICLR 2027

Seed2Succeed: Test-Time Scaling Needs Breadth in Antibody–Antigen Structure Prediction

Abstract

Test-time scaling in antibody-antigen structure prediction offers a route to improve its accuracy, but its benefits depend on how prediction budgets are allocated. We present Seed2Succeed, a systematic study of seed breadth and sampling depth in AlphaFold3 using 113 FoldBench complexes and 2.26 million predicted structures. For each target, we compare 1,000 seeds 10 diffusion samples with 10 seeds 1,000 samples at a matched budget of 10,000 structures. We jointly analyze predicted epitope and paratope diversity, local structure diversity and global structure diversity. On 160 interfaces from 104 targets, broader seeding increases low-quality success rate from 43.1% to 60.0%, high-quality success rate from 16.3% to 25.0%. Broader seeding also expands contact coverage, while coordinate dispersion in the complementarity-determining regions remains nearly unchanged at full budget. However, additional sampling can reduce confidence-selected success, and full-pool oracle discovery numerically favors depth. Cluster analysis reveals structural populations with similar interface confidence but markedly different docking quality. These findings support seed breadth as a practical starting point on this benchmark and show that effective test-time scaling requires jointly considering candidate discovery, structural exploration, and ranking reliability.

open until 14 Dec 2026

est. 32% chance this paper gets accepted at ICLR 2027.

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