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Under review as a conference paper at ICLR 2027

Graph-Spectral Flow Matching for Multivariate Time Series Anomaly Detection

Abstract

Multivariate time series anomaly detection typically relies on evaluating discrepancies between observations and outputs produced by models trained on normal data. An alternative perspective is to characterize the distribution of normal data through the generative dynamics, i.e., the velocity field, of flow matching models. However, standard flow matching typically adopts linear probability paths that overlook dependencies among variables, leading to a misalignment with the structured data distribution. To address this issue, we propose GRASP, a flow matching framework with a graph-spectral path for multivariate time series anomaly detection. GRASP incorporates graph structure into the probability path by minimizing a fixed-endpoint action that combines kinetic energy with graph Dirichlet energy. This formulation yields a closed-form path based on graph-frequency-dependent hyperbolic interpolation. A velocity predictor trained on normal data then detects anomalies using weighted velocity discrepancies aggregated across source samples, flow times, and graph frequencies. Theoretically, we establish that GRASP is invariant to the choice of Laplacian eigenbasis and decompose its expected oracle anomaly score into bounded endpoint uncertainty and graph-frequency-weighted Fisher discrepancy. Experiments on four benchmarks demonstrate the superior anomaly detection performance of GRASP and validate the effectiveness of its graph-spectral path and weighting mechanism.

open until 14 Dec 2026

est. 32% chance this paper gets accepted at ICLR 2027.

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