acceptodds: Which papers will get accepted at ICLR 2027?
Abstract
A prediction market on peer review. Each paper has a market on its decision (accept or reject), priced by researchers who stake $rep, an in app currency, on what they expect. Everyone who signs up receives 1,000 $rep to trade with. Prices are probabilities, and every market settles when the venue publishes its decisions. It is a game made for fun, and has no connection to ICLR, OpenReview or any other organisation. acceptodds is an open source project, open to contributions, at github.com/benedict-armstrong/acceptodds.1
- ETH Zurich
- University of Maryland, College Park
- Pohang University of Science and Technology
- Birla Institute of Technology and Science, Pilani – Pilani Campus
- Amazon
- École Polytechnique Fédérale de Lausanne
- Harvard University
- Los Alamos National Laboratory
- Mila
- Roche
- Technical University of Munich
- University of Illinois Urbana-Champaign
- University of Tübingen
- Aalto University
- Delhi Technological University
- ELLIS Institute Tübingen
- Indian Institute of Technology Delhi
- Industrial University of Santander
- INHA University
- New York University
- University of California, Irvine
- University of California, Santa Barbara
- University of Pennsylvania
- University of Southern California
- University of Surrey
- Uppsala University
- Virginia Tech
- West Virginia University
[PDF]FoSeRL: Formal Sequential Robustness Certification for Reinforcement Learning Policies200 $rep61%
[PDF]Who Gets a Token, and What Does It Carry? Unequal Name Support and Concept Access in Large Language Models802 $rep90%
[PDF]When Is a Policy Violation a Model Failure? Policy Observability and Failure Attribution in Agent-Safety Evaluation50 $rep84%
[PDF]DisContact: Generating Hand Motion and Discrete Contact Maps with Geometry-Coupled Hybrid Diffusion54 $rep85%
[PDF]Lost in a Few Heads: Diagnosing and Repairing Block Selection in Sparse Attention Language Models49 $rep85%
[PDF]VISTA: A Multimodal Egocentric Benchmark for Goal-Oriented Perception and Assistance to Blind and Low-Vision Users42 $rep74%
[PDF]HOLOGRAM: A Graph-Conditioned Context Steering Framework for Multilingual, Multimodal, and Multi-Granular Toxic Content Detection100 $rep52%
[PDF]CoPocket: Pocket-Conditioned Molecular Generation via Multi-Modal Feature Constraints and Interaction-Aware Contrastive Learning199 $rep38%
[PDF]Pretrained Neuron-Level Representations Enable Across-Subject Zero-Shot Transfer of Neural Decoders300 $rep87%
[PDF]BrainWideBench: Benchmarking large-scale pretraining and across-animal transfer in multi-region neural recordings200 $rep90%
[PDF]Rich Outcomes, Selective Constraints: Goal Overspecification in Offline Goal-Conditioned Learning1,000 $rep97%
[PDF]When Is One Reading Enough? Decision-Relevant Ambiguity in Constrained Reinforcement Learning302 $rep90%
1 If this project is interesting to you, reach out at [email protected].