acceptodds: Which papers will get accepted at ICLR 2027?

Abstract

A prediction market on peer review. Each paper has a market on its decision (accept or reject), priced by researchers who stake $rep, an in app currency, on what they expect. Everyone who signs up receives 1,000 $rep to trade with. Prices are probabilities, and every market settles when the venue publishes its decisions. It is a game made for fun, and has no connection to ICLR, OpenReview or any other organisation. acceptodds is an open source project, open to contributions, at github.com/benedict-armstrong/acceptodds.¹

Join traders from

Indian Institute of Technology Kharagpur
ELLIS Institute Tübingen
Harvard University
École Polytechnique Fédérale de Lausanne
University of Moratuwa
Pohang University of Science and Technology
Massachusetts Institute of Technology
北京大学
Ludwig-Maximilians-Universität München
École Polytechnique
University of California, Los Angeles
Virginia Tech
Emory University
University of Pennsylvania
Industrial University of Santander
Aalto University
University of Surrey
Shanghai Jiao Tong University
West Virginia University
ETH Zurich
New York University
Amazon
University of Maryland, College Park
Georgia Institute of Technology
University of California, Irvine
Roche
Johannes Kepler University of Linz
University of Illinois Urbana-Champaign
United International University
National Taiwan University
University of Southern California
University of Tübingen
Indian Institute of Technology Delhi
Mohamed bin Zayed University of Artificial Intelligence
Technical University of Munich
The Chinese University of Hong Kong
Mila
University of Delaware
Korea Advanced Institute of Science and Technology
Indian Institute of Technology Dhanbad
Polytechnique Montréal
Delhi Technological University
Los Alamos National Laboratory
Birla Institute of Technology and Science, Pilani – Pilani Campus
University of California, Santa Barbara
INHA University
Uppsala University

Indian Institute of Technology Kharagpur
ELLIS Institute Tübingen
Harvard University
École Polytechnique Fédérale de Lausanne
University of Moratuwa
Pohang University of Science and Technology
Massachusetts Institute of Technology
北京大学
Ludwig-Maximilians-Universität München
École Polytechnique
University of California, Los Angeles
Virginia Tech
Emory University
University of Pennsylvania
Industrial University of Santander
Aalto University
University of Surrey
Shanghai Jiao Tong University
West Virginia University
ETH Zurich
New York University
Amazon
University of Maryland, College Park
Georgia Institute of Technology
University of California, Irvine
Roche
Johannes Kepler University of Linz
University of Illinois Urbana-Champaign
United International University
National Taiwan University
University of Southern California
University of Tübingen
Indian Institute of Technology Delhi
Mohamed bin Zayed University of Artificial Intelligence
Technical University of Munich
The Chinese University of Hong Kong
Mila
University of Delaware
Korea Advanced Institute of Science and Technology
Indian Institute of Technology Dhanbad
Polytechnique Montréal
Delhi Technological University
Los Alamos National Laboratory
Birla Institute of Technology and Science, Pilani – Pilani Campus
University of California, Santa Barbara
INHA University
Uppsala University

ICLR 2027sort:activity acceptance volume newest

[PDF]AnyPoint: Dynamic Evaluation for Point-Cloud Multimodal Large Language Models

[PDF]DG-FDE: Dynamic Graph Representation Learning via Graph Neural Fractional Differential Equations

[PDF]DualWAM: Dual-System World Action Models for Asynchronous Global Planning and Local Refinement

[PDF]Answer Interfaces Change the Measured Cost of Early Stopping

[PDF]AutoPEER: Issue-Guided Prompt Evolution for Long-Horizon Agents

[PDF]PoisonedEar: Knowledge Poisoning Attacks on Retrieval-Augmented Generation Multimodal Reasoning in Audio-Centric Language Models

[PDF]Diffusion Precipitation Generation with Medium-range Weather Forecasting

[PDF]Evaluating Alignment of Behavioral Dispositions in LLMs

[PDF]TITRATE : Evaluating LLM agents with fewer executions

[PDF]XLingoTalker: Cross-Lingual Personalized Speech-Driven 3D Facial Animation

[PDF]Fast Reward Evaluation in Reinforcement Learning via Simulation Optimization

[PDF]EvoScene-VLA: Evolving Scene Beliefs Inside the Action Decoder for Chunked Robot Control

[PDF]The Honest Agent Paradox: How LLM Judges Score a Human-Inspired Web Agent

[PDF]PAIR: Bridging Perception and Action in Vision-Language-Action Models

[PDF]scGANT: Cell-Conditioned Biological Guidance for Single-Cell Foundation Models

[PDF]SRC: SINKHORN RESPONSIBILITY CREDIT FOR SPATIAL MULTI-AGENT REINFORCEMENT LEARNING

[PDF]ReCal: Reward Calibration for RL-based LLM Routing

[PDF]Regulating Actor-Critic Coupling with Uncertainty in Offline Reinforcement Learning

[PDF]ParallelWorld: Test-Time Scaling for Agentic Embodied Reasoning

[PDF]Unsupervised Generative Replay for Efficient Reinforcement Learning

[PDF]Behavioral Guarantees for Proxy Based Unlearning

[PDF]LCRA: Local Attention with Hierarchically Routed Coarse-Residual Memory for Long-Context Retrieval

[PDF]Answers as Probes: Mitigating LLM Hallucinations with Source-Aware Inference

[PDF]Video Models Reason Early: Exploiting Plan Commitment for Maze Solving

[PDF]Asymmetric Generative Adaptation for Federated Multispectral Palmprint Recognition under Spectral Heterogeneity

[PDF]Beyond the Observed: Knowledge-Informed Controllable Augmentation for Few-Shot Class-Incremental Learning

[PDF]NeSyCAPE: Neuro Symbolic Constraint Aware Program Execution

[PDF]Activation-Adjacent Layer Normalization: Effects on Approximation Power

[PDF]PLADOS: A Parameter-free Landing Algorithm for Decentralized Optimization on the Stiefel Manifold

[PDF]Epistemic Action Quotients: A Theory of Consequence-Based Action Abstraction

[PDF]Grounding Force: Image-Aligned Contact and Force Prediction for Vision-Language-Action Models

[PDF]Uncertainty Estimation via Bayesian Decision Layer with Wasserstein Geometric Matching

[PDF]Learning from Others, Acting for You: Cross-User Memory Sharing for LLM Agents

[PDF]The Truthfulness Spectrum: How General Are Truth Directions?

[PDF]UniEvo-RS: Omni-Prompt Unified Remote Sensing Segmentation with Representative Exemplar-Driven Prototype Evolution

[PDF]From Heatmaps to Reliance Fields: Diagnosing Visual Explanations

[PDF]Late-Query Algebraic Checkpointing and Arbitrary Matrix-Product Outputs

[PDF]Covariance-Induced Fairness Gap Penalty for Subgroup-Fair Clustering

[PDF]CASH: Calibrated Self-Healing Vision-Language-Action Policies for Embodied Agents

[PDF]Matryoshka Concept Bottleneck Models

[PDF]Quadratic Weak-to-Strong Generalization in Random Feature Networks via Random Matrix Theory

[PDF]SelectTTRL: Representation-Guided Data Selection for Efficient Test-Time Reinforcement Learning

[PDF]Couple to Control: Joint Initial Noise Design in Diffusion Models

[PDF]NeuroContext-TTA: Source-Anchored Context Calibration for Cross-Subject EEG Emotion Recognition

[PDF]RuleWeaver: Customizable Stealthiness and Robustness in Backdoor Attacks via Data-Level Rule Compilation

[PDF]GroupMask: Layer-Adaptive Group-wise Sparsity for Semi-Structured LLM Pruning

[PDF]Before the KL: Auditing Interfaces for Cross-Tokenizer Distillation

[PDF]FIRMO: Robust Matrix-Aware Optimization for Neural Networks

[PDF]Support-Compiled Feature Folding: More Evidence at Lower Memory Across Tabular Foundation Models

[PDF]When to Forget: Risk-Controlled Context Adaptation for Long-Horizon Agents

¹ If this project is interesting to you, reach out at [email protected].